Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.168060 0.194803 0.224433 0.259701 0.300548 0.346384 0.401748
2025-07-06 0.125101 0.160559 0.203990 0.261125 0.334380 0.425256 0.546744
2025-07-13 0.106522 0.146666 0.199358 0.273641 0.375816 0.511679 0.706544
2025-07-20 0.092872 0.135412 0.194488 0.282608 0.410980 0.591637 0.866101
2025-07-27 0.082531 0.126453 0.190498 0.290819 0.444428 0.671497 1.034152
2025-08-03 0.072999 0.116912 0.183798 0.293255 0.468482 0.739158 1.191249
2025-08-10 0.064007 0.106731 0.174443 0.289761 0.482021 0.791174 1.329075
2025-08-17 0.055449 0.095970 0.162589 0.280306 0.484073 0.824120 1.438587
2025-08-24 0.051149 0.091682 0.160652 0.286823 0.513069 0.904039 1.636135
2025-08-31 0.046573 0.086272 0.156048 0.287924 0.532389 0.968961 1.814345
2025-09-07 0.043037 0.082249 0.153321 0.291868 0.556932 1.045298 2.021621
2025-09-14 0.038618 0.076022 0.145821 0.285948 0.562189 1.086466 2.166840
2025-09-21 0.035079 0.071133 0.140405 0.283631 0.574585 1.143440 2.351857
2025-09-28 0.032386 0.067601 0.137214 0.285342 0.595203 1.218864 2.583658
2025-10-05 0.031234 0.067045 0.139813 0.299022 0.641646 1.350895 2.948301
2025-10-12 0.029780 0.065667 0.140547 0.308825 0.680998 1.472542 3.305439
2025-10-19 0.028367 0.064199 0.140904 0.317803 0.719515 1.596533 3.682600
2025-10-26 0.026549 0.061612 0.138546 0.320467 0.744256 1.693155 4.009512
2025-11-02 0.024409 0.058034 0.133596 0.316647 0.753715 1.756566 4.266857
2025-11-09 0.022021 0.053600 0.126221 0.306309 0.746695 1.781354 4.435004
2025-11-16 0.021038 0.052402 0.126189 0.313434 0.782227 1.909619 4.871288
2025-11-23 0.019757 0.050326 0.123846 0.314637 0.803344 2.005546 5.238177
2025-11-30 0.018765 0.048858 0.122806 0.318950 0.832706 2.124809 5.679212